Expert Trader Shows ‘Simple Math’ To Calculate The Bitcoin Price Bottom

A crypto market analyst has outlined what he describes as a straightforward mathematical method that helped identify the bottom of Bitcoin’s previous bear market. By focusing on long-term Fibonacci levels and quarterly price behavior, the analyst argues that the same structural logic that marked the 2022 bottom is now shaping Bitcoin’s next macro phase. Simple Math That Identified The Bitcoin Price Bear Market Bottom In an X post shared on March 8, crypto analyst Chetan Gurjar revisited a prediction he made in December 2022 regarding Bitcoin’s bear market low. While he acknowledged that the timing of the call was slightly off by a few months, he stated that the price target itself proved accurate. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For The analysis referenced Bitcoin’s bear market bottom around the $15,000 region in late 2022, which the analyst had previously projected using this framework. His approach centers on macro Fibonacci extension levels plotted on the quarterly chart, with particular focus on the 1.618 Fibonacci level positioned near $62,084. The chart accompanying the explanation highlights how Bitcoin historically reacts to this macro level. During the 2021 bull cycle, Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break and sustain price action above the 1.618 Fibonacci level. The analyst pointed to the second and fourth quarter candles of 2021, both of which were rejected at that same zone. These repeated rejections signaled strong resistance at the time, reinforcing the significance of the level in the broader market structure. By mapping these macro levels across cycles, the analyst argues that long-term Fibonacci mathematics can help identify both extreme lows and potential expansion targets. Quarterly Fibonacci Retest Suggests Next Macro Phase The analyst’s latest chart interpretation suggests that Bitcoin’s relationship with the 1.618 Fibonacci level has shifted from resistance to support. After breaking above the $62,084 region on the quarterly timeframe, Bitcoin has not produced a quarterly candle close below the level since the breakout. The chart shows two notable retests following the move. In the second and third quarters afterward, Bitcoin briefly tested the level but managed to hold above it on a closing basis. One quarterly wick even dipped below $50,000 before reclaiming the $62,084 level. As of the current quarter ending in March, Bitcoin is again trading above the same macro Fibonacci level. According to the analyst’s interpretation, this behavior represents a bullish quarterly retest. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Bottom Hasn’t Happened Yet, Gives Timeline To Expect Reversal The projection drawn on the chart extends toward the next Fibonacci expansion level at 2.618, which sits near $393,874. Gurjar describes this level as the minimum macro target if the structure holds. The chart also signals potential volatility, suggesting price wicks could stretch toward the $500,000 region during the expansion phase. However, the analyst notes that deeper quarterly wicks remain possible depending on broader market conditions, including potential weakness in the altcoin market. Even with that caveat, the framework presents the current structure as a continuation pattern centered on Bitcoin holding the 1.618 Fibonacci level. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

SUI At Decision Point: RSI Trendline Could Trigger A Drop Or Bounce

SUI is approaching a key decision point as technical signals begin to shape its next move. Analysts are closely watching the RSI trendline on the BTC trading pair, which could act as the trigger for the token’s direction. A break below the trendline may accelerate bearish momentum, while a successful hold could allow a short-term rebound toward key resistance zones before the broader trend unfolds. BTC Pair RSI Trendline Becomes The Key Trigger For SUI Crypto analyst Umair Crypto, in a recent update, pointed out that SUI’s next move may largely depend on the behavior of the RSI trendline on its BTC trading pair. According to the analyst, a decisive break below it could quickly push the price toward the $0.82 region. Related Reading: SUI Breakdown Attempts Absorbed — Is It Ready To Explode Higher? While attention is focused on the BTC pair, the USDT pair is already showing signs of weakness, hovering around the bottom of its range, suggesting that the market is under pressure. Therefore, the direction taken by the BTC pair’s RSI could play a crucial role in determining whether the range on the USDT pair continues to hold or eventually breaks. Umair outlined two possible scenarios. In the first scenario, a breakdown of the RSI trendline on the BTC pair would likely trigger further weakness, causing the USDT pair to lose its range support and opening the door for a decline below $0.82. The second scenario involves the RSI trendline holding firm. If that happens, SUI could see a short-term bounce, with price potentially moving toward the $0.94 level. Despite the possibility of a brief rebound, the broader market bias remains tilted to the downside. Any move toward $0.94 would likely represent a corrective bounce within the larger downtrend, rather than a full trend reversal. For now, the RSI behavior on the BTC pair continues to lead the signal, while the USDT range is expected to react accordingly. A Stabilization Around Key $0.89 Support Level According to an analysis from BitGuru, SUI is currently exhibiting signs of stabilization following a prolonged downtrend and several distinct phases of consolidation, suggesting that the aggressive downward momentum may be reaching a point of exhaustion. The primary focus for market participants is now centered on the $0.89 support area, where SUI is currently holding its ground. Related Reading: SUI Slides Into Key Fib Support — Is the Downtrend Far From Over? This specific price level has emerged as a critical floor for the asset; as long as the bulls can defend this zone, the structural outlook remains constructive for a potential trend reversal or a relief rally. Should this support level successfully hold, the technical framework suggests a shift in momentum toward the upside. Analysts are eyeing the $1.01 to $1.05 resistance zone as the immediate objective for a recovery. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com