Crypto Market Highlights: Bitcoin Eyes $100K, Ethereum Targets Soar, While Regulatory Scrutiny on Developers Intensifies
Crypto Market Highlights: Bitcoin Eyes $100K, Ethereum Targets Soar, While Regulatory Scrutiny on Developers Intensifies
The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with renewed optimism for Bitcoin, as its Fear & Greed Index enters a 'Neutral' zone for the first time in months, signaling a shift from fear. Futures positioning has turned bullish, with analysts anticipating a push towards the $100,000 mark. This positive sentiment is further bolstered by a significant slowdown in selling pressure from long-term 'OG' Bitcoin holders.
Ethereum is also gaining considerable attention, with Standard Chartered dramatically increasing its year-end price target to $7,500 and projecting further growth to $40,000 by 2030. This bullish outlook is attributed to robust institutional demand and Ethereum's pivotal role in stablecoin and tokenized asset expansion, with expectations that ETH could outperform BTC.
In other market movements, XRP is navigating a consolidation phase around the $2 level. While its price has recently pulled back, analysts suggest that 'time' rather than current price action is the biggest factor for investors, with potential for a future 'price discovery' phase. Dogecoin (DOGE) has experienced a correction, facing resistance after earlier gains.
Meanwhile, the regulatory landscape remains a key concern. A draft of the CLARITY Act has faced strong criticism for potentially increasing vulnerability for crypto developers to prosecution and expanding surveillance measures for users of non-custodial software, raising alarms about the balance between regulation and innovation.
Article 1: Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Turns ‘Neutral’ For First Time Since October
Sentiment in the Bitcoin market has marked an improvement recently as the Fear & Greed Index has surged into the neutral zone for the first time in months. The index, created by Alternative, assesses investor mentality using factors like market cap dominance, trading volume, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. With a current value of 48, it indicates neutral sentiment around Bitcoin, a sharp contrast to the 'deep fear zone' value of 26 just yesterday. This turnaround is linked to Bitcoin’s recovery rally, pushing its price beyond the $97,000 level. Although the index hasn't reached the 'greed zone', investor hesitation is seen as a potentially positive sign for the rally’s sustainability, as the market often moves against majority expectations. The current break into the neutral zone is the first since late October, with greedy sentiment last seen over three months ago. Additionally, the Bitcoin recovery triggered significant short-liquidation events. BTC is currently trading around $97,500, up more than 7% over the past seven days.
Article 2: Crypto Market Bill Draft Criticized For Allowing Continued Developer Prosecution
A recently released draft of the CLARITY Act, aimed at regulating the crypto market, has sparked criticism. Intended to protect developers, experts now suggest it may open doors for continued prosecution and enhance surveillance for non-custodial software users. Market expert Ryan Adams highlighted concerns that prioritizing bank interests over public interests could lead to banks controlling stablecoin yields. An independent report reinforces worries about developer protections, noting the absence of safeguards against the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) for self-custodial wallets and potential applications to decentralized finance (DeFi) that could enforce Travel Rule-like regulations and anti-money laundering (AML) measures. The Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA), though offering exemptions, still leaves developers vulnerable to accountability for user actions. Senator Cynthia Lummis noted that the BRCA retains AML protections, implying continued accountability. Provisions in the “Keep Your Coins Act” asserting the right to self-custody are also undercut by clauses concerning illicit finance laws. The Senate Banking Committee's approach echoes past SEC attempts to classify DeFi services as intermediaries, raising concerns for crypto developers maintaining protocols. Overall, the draft suggests increased vulnerability for developers and users of privacy-enhancing technologies to government oversight and surveillance.
Article 3: Ethereum Could Surge To $7,500 And Leave Bitcoin Behind, Banking Giant Says
Standard Chartered has significantly raised its base-case price target for Ethereum to $7,500 by the end of the year, a substantial increase from its previous $4,000 projection. The banking giant's digital assets team attributes this revised outlook to escalating demand from corporate treasury buyers and anticipated spot ETH products. The bank’s lead analyst forecasts fee growth on the Ethereum network and stronger institutional adoption as primary drivers for the price surge. Standard Chartered also revised its longer-term targets, projecting $25,000 by 2028 and scenarios reaching $40,000 by 2030, based on the expansion of stablecoins and tokenized assets on Ethereum's chain. Market data indicates heavy accumulation since June, with spot ETF flows and treasury firms collectively acquiring close to 4% of Ether’s circulating supply. Standard Chartered further argues that Ether is likely to outperform Bitcoin, suggesting the ETH/BTC ratio could return to 2021 levels, driven by weaker Bitcoin momentum and greater real-world utility of Ethereum. While noting the importance of fee income and on-chain demand due to Ethereum's role in stablecoin activity and DeFi, the bank cautions about risks such as shifts in macro conditions, major ETF outflows, or regulatory setbacks.
Article 4: Dogecoin (DOGE) Meets Resistance and Hesitates, Market Tone Changes
Dogecoin recently corrected some gains, trading below $0.1450 against the US Dollar, and is now consolidating around the $0.1420 support level. After failing to clear $0.1520, DOGE experienced a downside correction, dipping below $0.150 and $0.1450. It found support near the 50% Fib retracement level of its recent upward move. A bullish trend line is forming with support at $0.1420 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair, suggesting a potential fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.1400. Immediate resistance is at $0.1450, with major resistances at $0.150 and $0.1510, which could lead to further gains towards $0.1550, $0.1765, or $0.1850. Conversely, if DOGE fails to break above $0.1450, it could decline towards $0.1420, $0.1410, and potentially $0.1350, with a downside break below this potentially leading to $0.1320 or $0.1305. Technical indicators show the hourly MACD gaining momentum in the bearish zone, and the RSI is below the 50 level, reflecting a cautious market tone.
Article 5: Bitcoin Bulls Take Control: Futures Positioning Turns Bullish for First Time Since October
Bitcoin is trading above the $95,000 level, indicating an easing of selling pressure and a renewed sense of short-term stability after weeks of choppy consolidation. Buyers are regaining control, pushing Bitcoin back into a range that previously acted as resistance. Derivatives and positioning data suggest a shift in market behavior. According to Axel Adler’s analysis, Bitcoin’s Positioning Index SMA-30d has risen to 3.5, marking the first sustained breakout above 3.0 since October 6, 2025. This historical context is significant, as the previous breakout led to BTC’s rally toward the $125,000 peak. The index, which aggregates futures market dynamics, suggests traders are moving from neutral to a more directional, bullish stance. Confirmation of this shift requires the SMA to hold above 2.0 for at least a week. The Bitcoin Advanced Sentiment Index, while cooling from a peak of 93.15% to about 70%, remains well above the neutral 50% threshold, reinforcing bullish market conditions. Adler views this pullback as a healthy release of overheating. Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a higher-low structure, signaling stabilization. The push above $95,000 is the highest daily close since mid-November, but the 50-day moving average is still downward sloping. Maintaining above the $93K–$95K range is crucial for momentum.
Article 6: XRP Price Gives Back Momentum, Traders Reassess the Bullish Setup
XRP price failed to surpass the $2.20 resistance and has initiated another decline, correcting recent gains and struggling to maintain its position above $2.080. The price dipped below the $2.120 and $2.10 levels, entering a negative zone, and even fell below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of its upward move from $2.032 to $2.193. Despite this, bulls remain active near the $2.080 support level, where a bullish trend line is forming on the hourly chart. XRP is currently trading below $2.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. To begin a fresh upward move, XRP needs to clear $2.150, which could lead it to test $2.20, then potentially $2.250 or $2.320. Failure to clear the $2.120 resistance could result in further declines towards $2.080, $2.070, and possibly $2.050 or $2.020. Technical indicators show the hourly MACD gaining pace in the bearish zone, and the RSI is below the 50 level.
Article 7: Pundit Reveals The Biggest Enemy Of XRP Investors As Price Struggles At $2
Many XRP investors are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach as the price struggles to break above its consolidation zone near the $2 level. Despite a brief rally earlier, upward momentum has stalled. Crypto analyst Cryptollica suggests that 'time,' rather than price action, is the biggest enemy of XRP investors, linking its current consolidation to a recurring historical pattern on the two-week price chart. XRP is described as being in 'Part 3' of this cycle, a phase designed to shake out bored holders, typically preceding 'Part 4' which sees significant price expansion. This structural sequence, observed in the 2014-2017 cycle, indicates a sharp rally follows the consolidation. XRP's current sideways movement slightly above $2, while holding above a rising long-term trendline, suggests the overall uptrend is intact despite slow momentum. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reset, which the analyst sees as a necessary step for XRP’s next move, not a sign of weakness. Cryptollica views this decade-long fractal as a precise algorithm, indicating that XRP’s 'spring is currently loaded' for a potential expansion phase once Part 3 is completed, leading to 'vertical price discovery.'
Article 8: Ethereum Price Upside Bid Fades, Can Bulls Hold the Line?
Ethereum price experienced a major increase above the $3,320 resistance level, reaching a high of $3,402. However, it is now consolidating gains and may dip towards the $3,280 zone. Following its rally, ETH began a minor downside correction, falling below $3,350 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from $3,061 to $3,402. Ethereum is currently trading above $3,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, with a bullish trend line forming with support at $3,280 on the hourly chart. If bulls can defend losses below $3,280, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is near $3,350, with key resistances at $3,380 and $3,400. A clear move above $3,400 could send the price towards $3,500, and potentially $3,550 or $3,650. Conversely, if Ethereum fails to clear $3,400, it could decline towards $3,300, $3,280, $3,230 (50% Fib retracement), or even $3,200. Technical indicators show the hourly MACD losing momentum in the bullish zone, while the RSI remains above 50.
Article 9: OG Bitcoin Selling Slows Sharply: Long-Dormant Coins Go Quiet
Bitcoin has pushed above the $95,000 level for the first time since mid-November, prompting debate about its underlying strength. An analysis by Darkfost highlights a significant shift: activity from 'OG' Bitcoin holders (coins dormant for several years) has sharply dropped. Historically, OGs distribute aggressively near market tops, and their activity was notably high earlier this cycle. However, recent data indicates a substantial slowdown in this selling pressure, reducing a major source of structural sell-side overhead. This doesn't necessarily mean OGs have turned aggressively bullish but suggests reduced urgency to sell. From a market structure perspective, declining OG selling removes a major supply source, making price action above $95K more dependent on marginal demand and derivatives positioning, which is considered a quietly constructive signal for potential consolidation or trend continuation. Bitcoin’s push above $95,000 represents a short-term breakout, reclaiming its descending short-term moving average and testing a former resistance zone. The rebound follows a sharp November correction, with price forming higher lows, although volume remains moderate. While the broader trend hasn't fully flipped bullish, a sustained hold above $95,000 is critical to build momentum towards the $98,000–$100,000 resistance zone.
Article 10: Bitcoin Price Clears the Ceiling—Is $100K the Next Test?
Bitcoin price has initiated a fresh increase above $95,500 and is now trading above $96,000, setting its sights on a potential move towards $100,000 in the near term. BTC settled above $94,000 and $95,000, spiking to a high of $97,898. The price is currently consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from $89,995 to $97,898 and is supported by the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If Bitcoin remains stable above $95,500, it could attempt further increases, targeting immediate resistance near $97,200, then $97,800, and potentially $98,000. A clear close above $98,000 could propel the price towards $98,800, $99,500, and ultimately the $99,800 to $100,000 barrier. Conversely, failure to rise above the $97,200 resistance could trigger a decline towards $96,000, $95,250 (trend line support), $94,000 (50% Fib retracement), or even $93,000, with major support at $92,500. The hourly MACD is losing pace in the bullish zone, but the RSI for BTC/USD remains above 50.